How pharmaceuticals put growth in the future healthcare market
Dr. Evangelo Damigos; PhD | Head of Digital Futures Research Desk
- Competitive Differentiation
Publication | Update: Mar 2022

The pharmaceutical industry has experienced significant growth during the past two decades, and pharma revenues worldwide totaled 1.25 trillion U.S. dollars in 2019. While biopharma companies made significant R&D investments to innovate in the last 10 years, the returns declined significantly during that same period—from 10.1% to 1.8%. This represents an average decline of 0.83% per year.
New approaches in how diseases are diagnosed and prevented, personalized medicine, curative therapies, digital therapeutics, and precision intervention could radically alter the current business models.
The main drivers of change can be summarized as follows:
· Early detection and prevention
In the near future, it is highly likely that many cancers, metabolic and chronic disease could be detected even before first symptoms appear. Early detection of different types of cancer can and other chronic and debilitating disease eliminate the need for costly therapies.
· Precision medicine
The success of precision medicines depends a lot on the accuracy of Next Generation Sequencing (NGS) tests that are capable of rapidly identifying or 'sequencing' large sections of a person's genome and are important advances in the clinical applications of precision medicine.
· Neuroprosthetics and bio-interfaces
Neuroprosthetics will be used by people who have lost their limbs and by people who have lost control over their limbs due to nervous system damage. Deep brain stimulation involves implanting electrodes within certain areas of your brain. It is being studied as a potential treatment for addiction, chronic pain, depression, multiple sclerosis and many other diseases.
· Digitalization of healthcare
Digital tools should empower patients and give them a more holistic view of their health through access to data and more control. The use of computers, smartphones and wearables to gather and store huge amounts of health-related data has been rapidly accelerating. This will allow the use of real-world data (RWD) and real-world evidence (RWE) to better design and conduct clinical trials.
· Advances in Genomics
The genetic basis of cancers has been studies for decades. Primary methods for treating cancers were chemotherapy, surgery and radiation. In the near future, it is expected that various cell and gene will be developed and used in treatment of cancer. Adoptive cell transfer (transfer of ceils into a patient) is used in cancer immunotherapy. In CAR-T cell therapy (chimeric antigen receptor) T-cells are extracted from a patient, genetically modified in a lab and then returned into a patient.
· Nanotechnology
Robotic surgery is now the standard of care for many diseases. However, there are still many hard-to-reach places in the body that prevent efficient use of robotics in removing and treating different tumors. It is expected that progress in robotics would enable sophisticated and precise interventions that are not possible today.
Pharmaceutical executives must identify new opportunities and threats to their business models, plan and when necessary, adapt. Companies that are able to adapt their current business practices to a world built around early prevention and detection, extensive use of real-world data and digitalization of healthcare will be able to capitalize on the upcoming opportunities.
Read more: https://www.phortas.com/single-post/future-trends-in-healthcare


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Objectives and Study Scope
This study has assimilated knowledge and insight from business and subject-matter experts, and from a broad spectrum of market initiatives. Building on this research, the objectives of this market research report is to provide actionable intelligence on opportunities alongside the market size of various segments, as well as fact-based information on key factors influencing the market- growth drivers, industry-specific challenges and other critical issues in terms of detailed analysis and impact.
The report in its entirety provides a comprehensive overview of the current global condition, as well as notable opportunities and challenges.
The analysis reflects market size, latest trends, growth drivers, threats, opportunities, as well as key market segments. The study addresses market dynamics in several geographic segments along with market analysis for the current market environment and future scenario over the forecast period.
The report also segments the market into various categories based on the product, end user, application, type, and region.
The report also studies various growth drivers and restraints impacting the market, plus a comprehensive market and vendor landscape in addition to a SWOT analysis of the key players.
This analysis also examines the competitive landscape within each market. Market factors are assessed by examining barriers to entry and market opportunities. Strategies adopted by key players including recent developments, new product launches, merger and acquisitions, and other insightful updates are provided.
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The future outlook “forecast” is based on a set of statistical methods such as regression analysis, industry specific drivers as well as analyst evaluations, as well as analysis of the trends that influence economic outcomes and business decision making.
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As a result, the reported forecasts derive from different forecasters and may not represent the view of any one forecaster over the whole of the forecast period. These projections provide an indication of what is, in our view most likely to happen, not what it will definitely happen.
Short- and medium-term forecasts are based on a “demand-side” forecasting framework, under the assumption that supply adjusts to meet demand either directly through changes in output or through the depletion of inventories.
Long-term projections rely on a supply-side framework, in which output is determined by the availability of labour and capital equipment and the growth in productivity.
Long-term growth prospects, are impacted by factors including the workforce capabilities, the openness of the economy to trade, the legal framework, fiscal policy, the degree of government regulation.
Direct contribution to GDP
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Forecasts of GDP growth: GDP = CN+IN+GS+NEX
GDP growth estimates take into account:

Market Quantification
All relevant markets are quantified utilizing revenue figures for the forecast period. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) within each segment is used to measure growth and to extrapolate data when figures are not publicly available.
Revenues
Our market segments reflect major categories and subcategories of the global market, followed by an analysis of statistical data covering national spending and international trade relations and patterns. Market values reflect revenues paid by the final customer / end user to vendors and service providers either directly or through distribution channels, excluding VAT. Local currencies are converted to USD using the yearly average exchange rates of local currencies to the USD for the respective year as provided by the IMF World Economic Outlook Database.
Industry Life Cycle Market Phase
Market phase is determined using factors in the Industry Life Cycle model. The adapted market phase definitions are as follows:

The Global Economic Model
The Global Economic Model brings together macroeconomic and sectoral forecasts for quantifying the key relationships.
The model is a hybrid statistical model that uses macroeconomic variables and inter-industry linkages to forecast sectoral output. The model is used to forecast not just output, but prices, wages, employment and investment. The principal variables driving the industry model are the components of final demand, which directly or indirectly determine the demand facing each industry. However, other macroeconomic assumptions — in particular exchange rates, as well as world commodity prices — also enter into the equation, as well as other industry specific factors that have been or are expected to impact.
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The principal explanatory variable in each industry’s output equation is the Total Demand variable, encompassing exogenous macroeconomic assumptions, consumer spending and investment, and intermediate demand for goods and services by sectors of the economy for use as inputs in the production of their own goods and services.
Elasticities
Elasticity measures the response of one economic variable to a change in another economic variable, whether the good or service is demanded as an input into a final product or whether it is the final product, and provides insight into the proportional impact of different economic actions and policy decisions.
Demand elasticities measure the change in the quantity demanded of a particular good or service as a result of changes to other economic variables, such as its own price, the price of competing or complementary goods and services, income levels, taxes.
Demand elasticities can be influenced by several factors. Each of these factors, along with the specific characteristics of the product, will interact to determine its overall responsiveness of demand to changes in prices and incomes.
The individual characteristics of a good or service will have an impact, but there are also a number of general factors that will typically affect the sensitivity of demand, such as the availability of substitutes, whereby the elasticity is typically higher the greater the number of available substitutes, as consumers can easily switch between different products.
The degree of necessity. Luxury products and habit forming ones, typically have a higher elasticity.
Proportion of the budget consumed by the item. Products that consume a large portion of the
consumer’s budget tend to have greater elasticity.
Elasticities tend to be greater over the long run because consumers have more time to adjust their behaviour.
Finally, if the product or service is an input into a final product then the price elasticity will depend on the price elasticity of the final product, its cost share in the production costs, and the availability of substitutes for that good or service.
Prices
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